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  • Global Current Weather

    Not just extreme weather events.


    Hurricane Pamela strengthens off Mexico’s Pacific coast

    Hurricane Pamela is gathering strength as it barrels towards Mexico’s western coast, with the US-based National Hurricane Center (NHC) predicting it will strengthen further before dumping heavy rain on the fertile farm state of Sinaloa.

    The Category 1 hurricane was located about 450km (280 miles) south of the major Sinaloa beach resort of Mazatlan and was forecast to turn northward before making landfall at potentially Category 3 strength, the NHC said on Tuesday morning.

    Pamela was packing maximum sustained winds of 130 kilometres per hour (80 mph) and was already causing rain along parts of Mexico’s Pacific coast.

    “Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast, and Pamela is expected to be near major hurricane strength when it reaches the coast of Mexico early Wednesday,” the NHC said in an update at 15:00 GMT on Tuesday.

    The Miami-based centre also warned of possible life-threatening storm surge, flash floods and dangerous winds around the impact area. Weakened remnants of the storm may reach the US state of Texas later in the week.

    Pamela is expected to drench Sinaloa, which is the country’s top grower of corn, Mexico’s staple grain, as well as a major producer of tomatoes and other fruits that figure prominently in the country’s agricultural exports to the United States.

    A tropical storm watch extends from the fishing village of Los Barriles on the Sea of Cortes side of Mexico’s Baja Peninsula down to the southern tip at Cabo San Lucas.

    But Pamela’s fury is seen mostly heading for Mexico’s southwest mainland, with “large and destructive waves” near the coast and rainfall of between 10 and 30 centimetres (four and 12 inches) seen hitting both Sinaloa and the neighbouring state of Durango.:

    Keep your friends close and your enemies closer

  • #2

    Tropical cyclone Kompasu, equivalent to Cat-I hurricane is sailing over open waters of South China Sea. The storm is centered about 19.5°N and 151.5°E, 500km southeast of Hongkong and 520km north-northwest of Manila, moving westward with a speed of about 20kmh. The cyclone is estimated to have winds of the order of 90kmh and gusting in excess of 100kmh. Kompasu is heading for Chinese province of Hainan.

    Cyclone Kompasu is moving over marginally favorable environment with adequate sea surface temperature and moderate wind shear. It is not expected to intensify further and is likely to make 1st landfall over coast of central Hainan, tomorrow evening.

    Thereafter. the storm will enter Gulf of Tonkin to gather some pace. It will continue moving westward and is likely to make 2nd landfall along the coast of North Vietnam on 15th October, early hours. Under increased vertical wind shear and frictional effects of rugged terrain of Vietnam, the storm will rapidly weaken, leading to its dissipation over northern Laos.

    The weakened remnants of this storm are expected to move across Thailand as a cyclonic circulation. This weather system is likely to emerge over Gulf of Martaban and adjoining North Andaman Sea, tentatively on 16thOctober. Favorable environmental conditions may revive this in to a low pressure area.

    The climatology and the numerical models suggest growth of this system over the open waters of Bay of Bengal. North Andaman Sea and East Central Bay of Bengal need to be kept under close observation for any further development.:

    Keep your friends close and your enemies closer


    • #3
      Typhoon Kompasu roars past Hong Kong, leaving 1 dead and 20 injured

      Typhoon Kompasu left one person dead in a road accident and at least 20 others injured as it roared past Hong Kong on Wednesday, shutting down schools, businesses and the stock exchange, and triggering the longest No 8 warning signal in more than 40 years.

      The Observatory downgraded the signal to No 3 at 4.40pm but warned that heavy rains and strong winds were expected to continue and urged residents in low-lying areas to be on guard against flooding.

      “The strong wind signal No 3 will remain in force for some time,” it said.

      Kompasu, named after the Japanese word for compass, made landfall at Hainan Island at 3.40pm, when it was 520km southwest of Hong Kong.

      A 31-year-old man died after losing control of his motorcycle and slamming into a lamp post in Shek O on southern Hong Kong Island on Tuesday night. He was rushed to hospital, where he was certified dead.

      Schools suspended classes and stock market trading was cancelled for the day. The Legislative Council postponed its weekly council meeting to October 20, delaying the second reading of bills on the introduction of non-local doctors to the market and rent control for subdivided flats.

      The Hong Kong Jockey Club decided at 11am to call off the race meeting scheduled for 7.15pm at Happy Valley, but the loss of an estimated HK$1.25 billion (US$160 million) ­in betting turnover and more than HK$100 million in duties will be recouped at a replacement meeting on December 29.

      By late afternoon, buses and ferries were resuming limited services after facing disruptions throughout the typhoon.

      The No 8 warning signal, triggered when wind speeds of 63km/h to 117km/h are expected, was in effect for more than 23 hours before the Observatory lowered it, the longest period since Severe Tropical Storm Agnes in July 1978, according to records.

      While rains were less intense than those brought by Tropical Storm Lionrock last weekend, low-lying areas on Lantau Island and near Lei Yue Mun in Kowloon suffered flooding.:

      Typhoon Kompasu lashes Hong Kong with heavy rain
      Keep your friends close and your enemies closer


      • #4
        Looking ahead………

        Hurricane season is back on pause as Caribbean systems fade

        We still have two X’s on the board, but neither of them is expected to amount to anything significant.

        Disturbance #1 is passing over the mountains of Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Heavy rain in the high terrain is the primary threat.

        The disturbance is interacting with a sharp dip in the jet stream located over the Bahamas. The combo system is producing a large, disorganized area of thunderstorms over the island and the ocean waters east of the Bahamas.

        Tomorrow plus or minus, a broad low-pressure system is forecast to form out of the mass of moisture. The energy to generate the system will come mainly from the jet-stream dip, however, not the warm Atlantic water. So it likely won’t be tropical, but instead just a garden-variety weak low-pressure area.

        In any case, the system is forecast to get swept out to sea and not be of any consequence to land areas.

        Disturbance #2 is going to move through the eastern Caribbean islands as just a moisture surge. Heavy rain and gusty winds are still possible on the affected islands over the next couple of days before the system gets swept out to sea as well.

        These were always low-odds systems, but the water in the tropics is still plenty warm to invigorate and sustain a system, so we pay attention just to be sure the forecasts that the disturbances won’t develop are correct.

        Elsewhere, nothing is showing in the long-range computer model forecasts through the weekend, and very little after that. Toward the end of this month, we’ll have to keep an eye on the western Caribbean. If anything is going to form, that’s the favored place for it to happen.:

        Keep your friends close and your enemies closer


        • #5
          Heavy Rains, Landslides Leave At Least 18 Dead In South India

          At least 18 people have died a day after torrential rains swept through villages and flooded roads in the southern Indian state of Kerala.

          Officials said rescuers recovered the bodies in two of the worst-hit districts, Kottayam and Idukki, where the heavy downpours triggered massive landslides, according to the Press Trust of India (PTI) news agency.

          The National Disaster Response Force and the Indian Army deployed teams to help with rescue efforts as several are still feared to be missing.

          On Saturday, when the heavy rains began, television reports showed people wading through chest-deep waters to rescue passengers from a bus that was nearly submerged by the torrents flooding the roads.

          The state chief minister, Pinarayi Vijayan, urged residents on Sunday to exercise extreme caution even though the intense rainfall has since subsided. Over a 100 relief camps have been set up, he added.

          Prime Minister Narendra Modi said he spoke to the chief minister and added that authorities were working to rescue those affected. “I pray for everyone’s safety and well-being,” he said in a tweet.

          In 2018, Kerala suffered catastrophic floods when heavy downpours amid the monsoon season killed 223 people and drove hundreds of thousands from their homes.:

          Keep your friends close and your enemies closer


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