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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Death toll reaches 443 amid flooding, mudslides in South Africa

    South African authorities said on Sunday that at least 443 people have now died due to the flooding and mudslides that followed heavy storms in the KwaZulu-Natal province.

    KwaZulu-Natal premier Sihle Zikalala said at a news conference Sunday that 63 residents are still unaccounted for, calling the disaster among the worst the province has ever seen.

    “We sympathize with all those who lost their relatives and friends in the floods that attacked KwaZulu-Natal,” Zikalala said in a Facebook post over the weekend. “As a government we will do everything we can to help our communities that have lost relatives and friends.”

    Reuters reported that South African president Cyril Ramaphosa has delayed an official visit to Saudi Arabia to focus on the natural disaster, noting that he plans to meet with cabinet members to assess the damages.

    The storms and flooding has left thousands of residents homeless, knocked out power and water services, and delayed operations at Durban, the country’s busiest port.

    KwaZulu-Natal residents told Reuters about still being terrified of the thought of more rain falling on the region, and said they are losing hope of finding relatives in the aftermath of the disaster.

    Africa’s southeastern coast is expected to be hit hard by climate change, with more extreme storms and flooding expected in the decades ahead. https://thehill.com/policy/internati...-south-africa/


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  • S Landreth
    replied
    South Africa's Durban floods: At least 45 die as rain and mudslides

    At least 45 people in South Africa have been killed in floods caused by days of heavy rain, the authorities say.

    It happened in the coastal province of KwaZulu-Natal, where many people are still missing and emergency services are searching for survivors.

    Some in the city of Durban are standing on rooftops awaiting rescue, but local media report that only one helicopter is available to lift people away.

    Key roads across the city are shut and mudslides have destroyed many homes.

    It comes as scientists warn that climate change is fuelling heavier rainfall than usual in southern Africa.

    The mayor of eThekwini - which is the area including Durban and its surrounding towns - has apologised to residents who were left stranded after the emergency call centre was overwhelmed overnight.

    Mayor Mxolisi Kaunda also says efforts are under way to restore water and electricity supplies that have been cut to parts of the city, after most of the city's electricity power stations were flooded on Monday evening and a number of water treatment plants were damaged.

    People are being urged to stay at home, but those living in low-lying areas are also being urged to move to higher ground.

    Residents who fear their homes may collapse should seek shelter in community halls, Mayor Kaunda advises.

    South Africans have been posting photos online of the destruction, including this collapsed road in the resort town of Umdloti……

    Pictures in link: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-61080056

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Search for landslide survivors as Philippine storm toll hits 28

    Rescuers hampered by mud and rain searched Tuesday for survivors of landslides that smashed into villages in the central Philippines, as the death toll from tropical storm Megi rose to 28.

    More than 17,000 people fled their homes as the storm pummelled the disaster-prone region in recent days, flooding houses, severing roads and knocking out power.

    At least 22 people were dead and 27 missing after landslides slammed into multiple villages in Leyte province -- one of the hardest hit by the storm -- local authorities said. Just over 100 people were injured.

    Three people were also killed in the central province of Negros Oriental and three on the main southern island of Mindanao, according to the national disaster agency.

    "It's supposed to be the dry season but maybe climate change has upended that," said Marissa Miguel Cano, public information officer for Leyte's Baybay City, where many of the devastated villages are located.

    Drone footage shared on Facebook and verified by AFP showed a wide stretch of mud that had swept down a hill of coconut trees and engulfed Bunga, one of the communities affected.

    At least one person had been killed and 21 people were missing in the devastated village, which had been reduced to a few rooftops poking through the mud.

    Cano said the hilly region of corn, rice and coconut farms was prone to landslides, but they were usually small and not fatal.

    Rescue efforts were also focused on the nearby village of Kantagnos, which an official said had been hit by two landslides.

    Some residents managed to escape or were pulled out of the mud alive, but many are still feared trapped.

    Five people have been confirmed dead in Kantagnos, but it is not clear how many are still missing.

    A Philippine Coast Guard video shared on Facebook showed six rescuers carrying a mud-caked woman on a stretcher to safety.

    "There was a small landslide and some people were able to run to safety, and then a big one followed which covered the entire village," Baybay City Mayor Jose Carlos Cari told local broadcaster DZMM Teleradyo.

    "We're looking for many people, there are 210 households there."

    Cari said the bad weather was hampering rescue efforts.

    "We're pushing, but we're having a hard time because it's dangerous," he said.

    "Equipment has been mobilised, everything is ready, but we're unable to move because it's still raining heavily and rivers are still swollen."

    - Direct hit on homes -

    The military has joined coast guard, police and fire protection personnel in the search and rescue efforts.

    National disaster agency spokesman Mark Timbal said landslides around Baybay City had reached settlements "outside the danger zone", catching many people by surprise.

    "There were people in their homes that were hit directly by the landslide," Timbal told AFP.

    Tropical storm Megi -- known in the Philippines by its local name Agaton -- is the first major storm to hit the country this year.

    Whipping up seas, it forced dozens of ports to suspend operations and stranded nearly 8,000 people at the start of Holy Week, one of the busiest travel periods of the year.

    The Philippines reopened to fully vaccinated tourists from most countries in February after lifting practically all Covid-19 restrictions, and Easter is a popular holiday for domestic tourists.

    The storm comes four months after a super typhoon devastated swathes of the archipelago nation, killing more than 400 people and leaving hundreds of thousands homeless.

    Scientists have long warned typhoons are strengthening more rapidly as the world becomes warmer due to climate change.

    The Philippines -- ranked among the most vulnerable nations to its impacts -- is hit by an average of 20 storms every year. https://www.bangkokpost.com/world/22...m-toll-hits-28

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    a 47% chance for a major hurricane to hit the East Coast or Florida Peninsula (long-term average: 31%)
    Not good news

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Forecasters predict above-average 2022 Atlantic hurricane season

    An above-average Atlantic hurricane season is once again likely in 2022, the Colorado State University (CSU) hurricane forecasting team says in its latest seasonal forecast, issued April 7. In fact, last year’s hyperactive 2021 season is one of the top analogues.

    Led by Dr. Phil Klotzbach, with coauthor Dr. Michael Bell, the CSU team is calling for an active Atlantic hurricane season with 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes, and an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) of 160. In comparison, the long-term averages for the period 1991-2020 were 14.4 named storms, 7.2 hurricanes, 3.2 major hurricanes, and an ACE of 123.

    The CSU outlook predicts the odds of a major hurricane hitting the U.S. to be 71% (long-term average: 52%). It gives a 47% chance for a major hurricane to hit the East Coast or Florida Peninsula (long-term average: 31%), and a 46% chance for the Gulf Coast (long-term average: 30%). The Caribbean is forecast to have a 60% chance of having at least one major hurricane pass through (long-term average: 42%). https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2...ricane-season/

    Jeff Berardelli on 2022 Hurricane Season

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    New Zealand - North Island's torrential downpour set new record – NIWA

    A new record for heavy rainfall has been set by this week's torrential downpours.

    Numerous homes and businesses were flooded, with more than 300 calls for help to Fire and Emergency, and widespread road closures across the upper North Island.

    NIWA said the 103 millimetres of rain that fell between 4 and 5am at Maungatapere near Whangārei on Monday was a new hourly record for a low elevation station.

    The previous record was set 56 years ago when 100.6mm fell at Whenuapai in Auckland's north-west. A low elevation station is one positioned up to 500m above sea level.

    That highest-ever record for rainfall at any elevation in New Zealand is held by the Cropp at Waterfall high elevation station near Hokitika, which recorded 134 millimetres of rain in an hour in 2004.

    Hourly rainfall rankings at NIWA are calculated by the hour, always measuring from "the top-of-hour to top-of-hour".

    The maximum 60-minute total recorded at Maungatapere on Monday morning was actually higher than the new official record, as the station reached 123.2mm between 3.30am and 4.30am.

    "Because off-hour totals are not routinely calculated or cited in records, we can't definitively confirm whether this would represent an off-hour record, although it did exceed the previously known off-hour record of 109.4mm at Leigh, Auckland in May 2001," Brandolino said.

    But both measurements are astounding, he said.

    "For 103mm to fall in one hour, that's exceptional - you're getting more than what would fall in a month in one hour.

    "You can see why we had the flooding Monday morning across much of parts of Northland, and much of the Auckland region."

    Brandolino explained that on Monday when the record occurred a low pressure system in the Tasman Sea was siphoning moisture from the tropics into the northern North Island.

    "Around 3000 lightning strikes were observed in Northland and immediate offshore waters on Monday morning; this thunderstorm activity increased the rate of rainfall.

    "Ongoing marine heatwave conditions around New Zealand may have also contributed to the heavy rainfall."

    Later in the week deluges hammered Hawke's Bay, where roads, bridges, farms and houses were damaged, with repairs expected to take at least a year.

    Brandolino said the weather system that caused so much damage around Auckland, Gisborne and the Hawke's Bay was especially slow-moving because it's progress had been stalled by an area of high pressure to the south-east.

    "A warming planet means that we expect to see more extreme weather events like this. In the future, it's likely such events will become even more common and more extreme." https://www.1news.co.nz/2022/03/26/n...w-record-niwa/

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Storms damage 200 houses in Chaiyaphum

    CHAIYAPHUM: Summer storms hit 40 villages in two tambons of Bamnet Narong district of this central northeastern province on Monday afternoon, damaging about 200 houses.

    The storms moved in about 5pm, bringing heavy rain with hail and swirling winds in some areas. Many trees and power posts fell, causing a blackout in many villages.

    Hardest-hit were villages in tambon Ban Chuan and tambon Ban Phet, where sheets of roofing were swept off many houses by strong winds, sending residents scurrying to shelter with their relatives.

    Glass doors and windows at the Ban Phet tambon administration organisation office were also damaged.

    District officials reported that at least 40 villages were hit by the storms and more than 200 houses damaged in total.

    A warning has been issued for residents to prepare for more storms on Wednesday and Thursday. https://www.bangkokpost.com/thailand...-in-chaiyaphum

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Five die in landslide in Rio area, one month after disaster

    BRASILIA, Brazil -- A little over a month after landslides and flooding killed more than 200 people in a mountainous region of Rio de Janeiro, heavy rains have again fallen in the area, killing at least five people.

    Four others are missing after the Sunday rains in Petropolis, according to the state fire department.

    Residents had been mourning family members, neighbors and friends who died in the Feb. 15 landslide. On Monday, sirens blared to warn of the risk of new landslides in Petropolis. Many people left their homes to seek safety, while some preferred to stay behind despite the risk.

    Since the February disaster, 13 locations around Rio, including schools, churches and gymnasiums, have been sheltering about 650 people who were left homeless. and lost their belongings in the mud. https://abcnews.go.com/International...aster-83581249

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Warning of possible cyclone brewing in the Bay of Bengal

    Facebook page ‘Weather Watch’ on Saturday posted that the India Meteorological Department issued a warning on Friday that a low-pressure area over the Southeast Bay of Bengal was moving east-northeastwards toward the South Andaman Sea and East Equatorial Indian Ocean.

    The low-pressure area is forecasted to intensify into a depression by March 20 and into a cyclonic storm on March 21 and then moved north-northeastwards to Bangladesh and the northern coast of Myanmar by March 22.

    Once the system intensifies into a cyclone, it will be named Asani, which is a name suggested by Sri Lanka.

    “In the next two days this would-be cyclone could cause Thailand’s southern west coast to experience an outbreak of thundershowers and possible summer storms,” said the post. “This phenomenon is somehow similar to the flood of 2011 in which the South was hit with storms around the end of March, while the pursuing floods had claimed up to 53 lives.”

    Warning of possible cyclone brewing in the Bay of Bengal

    The Thailand Meteorological Department, however, has not issued an official warning regarding the development of a possible cyclone in the Bay of Bengal. The department has forecast that from March 19 to 25 the upper country will experience hot to very hot weather with thunderstorms, gusty winds, and hails in some areas due to the influence of southerly and the southeasterly winds that bring the moisture from the South China Sea and the Gulf to the upper Thailand

    As for the Southern region, the department said that the easterly and the southeasterly winds prevailing across the Gulf and the South will strengthen and bring more rains to the South with isolated heavy rains in some areas from March 23-25. https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40013569

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    More than 60,000 people under evacuation warnings amid wild NSW weather

    At least 40,000 people have been told to evacuate and 20,000 more put on high alert as major storms sweep across New South Wales and smash Sydney.

    NSW Premier Dominic Perrottet warned this afternoon that even more evacuations were expected to be issued as the Manly Dam on Sydney's northern beaches starts to spill.

    Dangerous winds are also expected to hit the state and flash flooding is forecast to continue for several days days.

    Across the state, 59 evacuation orders are affecting 40,000 people, and 15 evacuation warnings affecting a further 20,000.

    Mr Perrottet urged people to get ready to leave their homes if they are subject to an evacuation warning.

    "If there is an evacuation order in place, please evacuate, please follow the instructions of our state emergency services."

    The Bureau of Meteorology's Dean Narramore said dangerous conditions were still expected for days to come, with "minor to major flooding" taking place from the Queensland border to the Victorian border.

    "The rain is continuing across large parts of the metropolitan area, into the Hunter and southwards into the Illawarra. Since nine o'clock this morning, we have seen 50 to 100mm in the northern suburbs and that is pushing up to the Central Coast," he said.

    "We have seen flash flooding in that part of the world and it is likely to move further north in the coming days and we have warnings for intense rainfall that is likely to lead to life-threatening and dangerous flash flooding."

    Major flood warnings across state

    There are still major flood warnings for the Hawkesbury and Nepean catchments, with "many locations experiencing levels equal to or greater than what we saw in March of 2021". https://www.9news.com.au/national/ns...1-268f9aef2a7f


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  • S Landreth
    replied
    ‘The beach has disappeared.’ Storm dumps mounds of foam on beaches in south Australia

    The same storm system that is driving “large and powerful surf” off southern Australia is also dumping mounds of chocolatey foam on its beaches. Photos and video of the strange phenomenon began appearing on social media March 2, showing the foam was filling coastal channels and even forming foamy whirlpools. Station ABC South East NSW referred to the layer covering Tathra Beach as “beach cappuccino” and reported it was hiding hazardous surf along the Far South Coast.

    Andy Willis posted video showing the foam appeared to be waist-deep in some spots, stretching as far as the eye could see. “The beach has disappeared,” he wrote on Facebook.

    “It happens with heavy rains and big seas. This is as big as I’ve seen it” Tathra Beach was hit by a similar “tsunami of waist-deep sea foam” during a storm in 2016, according to The Canberra Times.

    “It banked up on the walls ... even spilled into the street,” the newspaper reported. “One lucky puppy was even fished out by his owner after he went missing in the massive foam.” Sea foam is formed much the way bubbles show up when shaking a container of water — “but on a much grander scale,” experts say.

    “When storms roll in and the ocean is agitated by wind and waves ... the creation of sea foam can occur often in gargantuan proportions,” Oceanwatch Australia reports. Sea foam is typically not harmful to humans, except in cases where it coincides with the decay of algal blooms off shore, the agency reports. “Sea foam bubbles are one way that algal toxins become airborne. The resulting aerosol can irritate the eyes of beach goers and poses a health risk for those with asthma or other respiratory conditions,” Oceanwatch Australia says. Weather forecasters report the storm that generated the mounds of foam is weakening as it moves north, but is still “bringing rain, strong winds and large and powerful surf” to the coast.

    https://www.theolympian.com/news/nat...259000998.html

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Thousands evacuate deadly floods in Australia as more rain expected

    Tens of thousands of people in southeast Australia were under evacuation orders Tuesday, as days of heavy flooding that have killed at least 10 people showed no signs of abating.

    The big picture: Torrential rains that began last week triggered flooding that caused several towns in Queensland and New South Wales to be submerged. The storm system was on Tuesday moving south toward Sydney, where forecasters warned extensive flash flooding was possible.

    By the numbers: Officials in northeastern New South Wales said they've conducted more than 1,000 flood rescues — including up to 50 people and their animals who were stranded by floodwaters on a bridge in the town of Woodburn overnight, per the BBC.

    What they're saying: "This rather significant weather system we will continue to see moving down the east coast of Australia," Prime Minister Scott Morrison said at a Tuesday news conference.
    • "We will see it come into the Central Coast in Sydney, and we're already experiencing elements of that right now, and particularly over the next 24 hours," Morrison continued.
    • "We will then see that extend further into the south coast of New South Wales and we need to be continuing to be preparing ourselves for the impacts in those regions."

    What to watch: Morrison noted that the storm system could reach further south in East Gippsland in the state of Victoria even in the northern part of the island state of Tasmania, south of Melbourne.
    • "More extreme weather is forecast for eastern Australia with an East Coast Low forecast to develop off the New South Wales coast," said Sarah Scully, a meteorologist with Australia's Bureau of Meteorology. This storm is expected to bring heavy rains, high winds and potential coastal flooding in Sydney.

    Context: Scientific studies show human-caused climate change has increased the likelihood and intensity of heavy rainfall, which can lead to flooding. Heavy rains are more likely in eastern and northeastern Australia during La Niña years, which feature milder ocean temperatures in parts of the western tropical Pacific Ocean.
    • However, the ongoing rains exceed what one would expect from La Niña-related trends alone. One of the firmest conclusions of climate change research is that hydrological extremes, both heavy rains and drought, are worsening around the world, including in Australia.
    • In recent years, Australia has see-sawed between drought, heat waves, wildfires and flooding.
    • A U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report out Monday warned "the current 1-in-100 year flood in Australia could occur several times a year" due to climate change.
    • Globally, the IPCC report states, "Flood risks and societal damages are projected to increase with every increment of global warming."
    • The IPCC warns of a potential doubling of flood risk and a 1.2 to 1.8-fold increase in GDP loss due to flooding if warming reaches between 1.5°C and 3°C above preindustrial levels, which it is currently on course to do.
    https://www.axios.com/australia-floo...eb24b66fd.html

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Thailand - Houses, coastline damaged by heavy rainstorms

    Thailand - NAKHON SI THAMMARAT: About 100 houses have been damaged and a coastline heavily eroded by heavy rainstorms that pummelled seaside areas of Hua Sai, Pak Phanang, Sichon, Tha Sala and Khanom districts of this southern provinces.

    The storms, which sent high waves ashore, began to hit the eastern coast of the Gulf of Thailand from Feb 24 and continued until Sunday morning.

    The road along the coastline from Pak Phanang to Hua Sai district was hit by sea waves, which also damaged about 100 houses at Pho Thale Ngam village in tambon Na Saton of Hua Sai district.

    A 500-metre stretch of the beach at Na Saton village was heavily eroded.

    Sanan Sonthimuang, the deputy provincial governor, made an inspection trip to examine the damage on Sunday morning.

    Heavy machines were dispatched to the area to repair the road and the beach, authorities said. The Na Saton Municipality had given tiles and roofing sheets to villagers to repair the damaged houses. https://www.bangkokpost.com/thailand...avy-rainstorms


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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Twin winter storms coming to central and eastern states

    A pair of “twin” storms will bring rain, ice and snow to several central and Eastern states this week.

    The impacts of the first storm were already being felt on Monday as thunderstorms pounded eastern Texas to Alabama, according to AccuWeather.

    Severe rainstorms and other harsh weather, including the threat of tornados in some areas, are expected to hit central Texas to central Missouri late Monday night before moving into southern Louisiana, Mississippi, Indiana and Illinois on Tuesday.

    America is changing faster than ever! Add Changing America to your Facebook or Twitter feed to stay on top of the news.

    Meanwhile, the storm will continue to bring snow to communities between northern Michigan all the way to parts of Montana.

    AccuWeather meteorologist Matt Benz predicted 6 to 12 inches of snow will fall from the Dakotas to northern Michigan, and the Duluth, Minn., area will see the heaviest snowfall, up to two feet.

    The storms will bring ice and a wintry mix to parts of Iowa and norther Missouri all the way to northern New York, New England and Maine by Tuesday and early Wednesday, according to AccuWeather.

    A second storm is expected to hit further south and east than the first storm due to cold air being pulled southward by Wednesday, AccuWeather meteorologists added. https://thehill.com/changing-america...to-central-and

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  • S Landreth
    replied
    Storm Eunice heads for UK and prompts danger to life warning

    Parts of the UK are bracing for the impact of one of the most serious storms in years after the Met Office issued a rare red warning for Friday.

    Storm Eunice could bring gusts of up to 90mph in south-west England and south Wales, with a risk to life from flying debris.

    Damage to homes, cancelled trains and power cuts are likely. Many schools are closing as a precaution.

    The warning is in place from 07:00 GMT until 12:00 GMT.

    It means millions of people living near the coastline of Devon, Cornwall and Somerset, as well as the south coast of Wales, are being urged to stay at home during the storm.

    A lower amber warning for wind remains in place for the rest of Wales and most of England as far north as Manchester, from 05:00 until 21:00 on Friday.

    All train services in Wales have been suspended on Friday, while rail companies are urging other customers not to travel due to expected disruption.

    Almost all Welsh councils as well as Somerset County Council said their schools would close on Friday. More than a hundred schools across Devon and Cornwall will also shut and Bristol City Council said it had advised schools not to open.

    The government held an emergency Cobra meeting to discuss the response to the incoming storm.

    Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the Army was "on standby" to support those affected.

    It comes after Storm Dudley caused widespread travel disruption and power cuts on Wednesday. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-60417263 - https://twitter.com/metoffice



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